Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.008926 0.010532 0.012469 0.015018 0.018343 0.022627 0.028718
2025-08-31 0.006961 0.008877 0.011467 0.015362 0.021343 0.030711 0.047789
2025-09-07 0.005701 0.007612 0.010381 0.014921 0.022722 0.036879 0.068736
2025-09-14 0.004827 0.006654 0.009433 0.014288 0.023389 0.042041 0.092917
2025-09-21 0.004309 0.006110 0.008973 0.014278 0.025092 0.050208 0.135508
2025-09-28 0.004019 0.005860 0.008917 0.014938 0.028373 0.064408 0.227342
2025-10-05 0.003878 0.005819 0.009197 0.016302 0.033878 0.090154 0.477174
2025-10-12 0.003653 0.005601 0.009112 0.016886 0.037806 0.116187 0.971380
2025-10-19 0.003367 0.005238 0.008691 0.016618 0.039289 0.135203 1.768098
2025-10-26 0.003164 0.004999 0.008472 0.016762 0.042144 0.166338 4.405306
2025-11-02 0.002944 0.004704 0.008099 0.016443 0.043372 0.191911 11.572493
2025-11-09 0.002692 0.004325 0.007508 0.015447 0.041797 0.197088 22.171557
2025-11-16 0.002462 0.003987 0.006999 0.014675 0.041181 0.213541 96.666622
2025-11-23 0.002343 0.003851 0.006906 0.015012 0.045282 0.287696 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002182 0.003617 0.006567 0.014585 0.045985 0.334653 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002026 0.003380 0.006191 0.013972 0.045553 0.369763 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001926 0.003245 0.006031 0.013962 0.048102 0.473872 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001875 0.003203 0.006077 0.014602 0.054679 0.750524 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001863 0.003239 0.006309 0.015923 0.066989 1.625523 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001810 0.003184 0.006314 0.016488 0.075529 3.123208 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001723 0.003049 0.006104 0.016230 0.077875 4.581404 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001661 0.002963 0.006007 0.016368 0.083867 9.078499 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001585 0.002842 0.005805 0.016059 0.085770 15.072658 NaN